Concept · Foundations
Calibration
The property of having stated confidence match long-run accuracy — 70%-confident predictions should come true about 70% of the time.
Why it matters
Calibration is the Bayesian virtue that separates well-updated beliefs from overconfident or underconfident ones.
Where this shows up
Units and lessons using this concept
Following the links will take you to the page where this term is introduced in context.
Related